already Pokemon Go’s premiere in 2016, Pokemon has been gradually added, and additional generations of Pokemon have already been discovered, thus Niantic still has more to add. Larvesta and Volcarona, their evolved form, were the most recent Pokemon to join the group. Trainers aren’t very thrilled with the arrival of Larvesta, either, as the limitations on how to discover them make it extremely unlikely that you’ll obtain one and make it almost hard to catch enough to develop one into a Volcarona.
Unlike most other Pokemon, the only way to find a Larvesta right now is to hatch one from an egg. While Bug and Fire-type Pokemon may be discovered in 2km, 5km, and 10km eggs, examining what can potentially be waiting within your eggs indicates Larvesta is a tier-five man in terms of its chances of being found inside. Tier five Pokemon are the most uncommon of the game’s eggs, with only a 2% chance of emerging when they hatch.
The SilphRoad subreddit has uploaded a thread in which Pokemon Go users express their dissatisfaction with Larvesta’s scarcity. A screenshot of their egg chances, showing Larvesta’s silhouette all the way down in the tier five portion, was contributed by Windycitykid89. Evidence that the new Pokemon in Pokemon Go is extremely difficult to discover and that the person in question hasn’t even hatched a single egg yet.
Even with such tiny chances, Windycitykid89 has a higher probability of hatching an Axew or a Riolu from the egg above. At most, Tier 4 Pokemon have a 5% probability of hatching from eggs, compared to a 7% hatch rate for Tier 3 Pokemon.
The difference with Larvesta, apart from being extremely rarer than previous instances, is that hatching it from an egg, with just a 2% chance of success, is presently the sole way to catch the Pokemon.
Niantic introduced the tier system depicted above two years ago to highlight which Pokemon can hatch from any particular egg and which ones are most likely to emerge. However, the probabilities associated with each tier were established through further labor by gamers at TheSilphRoad. Hatching innumerable eggs allowed the crew to establish the likelihood of particular Pokemon emerging, which is how trainers know the likelihood of Larvesta hatching from one egg is a pitiful two percent.
The last thing Niantic wants to do right now is annoying Pokemon Go gamers who have persisted with the game. The contentious adjustments to its remote raid passes have resulted in a drop in raid numbers and a five-year low in Pokemon Go income last month.
